Real Estate Information Archive

Blog

Displaying blog entries 1-10 of 19

The Real Reason Home Prices are Increasing

by Mary Gilbert
The Real Reason Home Prices are Increasing | MyKCM

There are many unsubstantiated theories as to why home values are continuing to increase. From those who are worried that lending standards are again becoming too lenient (data shows this is untrue), to those who are concerned that prices are again approaching boom peaks because of “irrational exuberance” (this is also untrue as prices are not at peak levels when they are adjusted for inflation), there seems to be no shortage of opinion.

However, the increase in prices is easily explained by the theory of supply & demand. Whenever there is a limited supply of an item that is in high demand, prices increase.

It is that simple. In real estate, it takes a six-month supply of existing salable inventory to maintain pricing stability. In most housing markets, anything less than six months will cause home values to appreciate and anything more than seven months will cause prices to depreciate (see chart 1).

The Real Reason Home Prices are Increasing | MyKCM

According to the Existing Home Sales Report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the monthly inventory of homes has been below six months for the last four years (see chart 2).

The Real Reason Home Prices are Increasing | MyKCM

Bottom Line

If buyer demand outpaces the current supply of existing homes for sale, prices will continue to appreciate. Nothing nefarious is taking place. It is simply the theory of supply & demand working as it should. 

Let's get together and discuss your options! 541.371.5500 or [email protected]

By: KCM Crew

The Cost of NOT Owning Your Home

by Mary Gilbert
The Cost of NOT Owning Your Home | MyKCM

Owning a home has great financial benefits, yet many continue to rent! Today, let’s look at the financial reasons why owning a home of your own has been a part of the American Dream for as long as America has existed.

Zillow recently reported that:

“In reality, buying or renting a home is an intensely personal decision, with emotional and even financial considerations that go beyond whether to invest in this one (admittedly large) asset. Looking strictly at housing market numbers, there is a concrete point at which buying a home makes more financial sense than renting it.”

What proof exists that owning is financially better than renting?

1. We recently highlighted the top 5 financial benefits of homeownership:

  • Homeownership is a form of forced savings.
  • Homeownership provides tax savings.
  • Homeownership allows you to lock in your monthly housing cost.
  • Buying a home is cheaper than renting.
  • No other investment lets you live inside of it.

2. Studies have shown that a homeowner’s net worth is 44x greater than that of a renter.

3. Just a few months ago, we explained that a family that purchased an average-priced home at the beginning of 2017 could build more than $48,000 in family wealth over the next five years.

4. Some argue that renting eliminates the cost of taxes and home repairs, but every potential renter must realize that all the expenses the landlord incurs are already baked into the rent payment– along with a profit margin!!

Bottom Line

Owning a home has always been, and will always be, better from a financial standpoint than renting.

Meet with Roseburg Properties Group to discuss your options! 541.371.5500 or [email protected]

By: KCM Crew

Exploring Roseburg Oregon: Roseburg Tree Lighting Ceremony

by Mary Gilbert

Kick off the season and get in the holiday spirit at the annual Tree Lighting Ceremony in downtown Roseburg. Sing carols with the Vintage Singers, see Santa, watch Roseburg JR Cheer, listen to Vocal Fusion, and view the First Christian Church’s Live Nativity Scene! Visit Santa and take a picture with him in his castle.  He will be there all day November 25th, and after the ceremony as well. 

The tree lighting ceremony starts at 4:45pm at the Douglas County Courthouse on Saturday, November 25, 2017.

Event Website

Courtesy of Mary Gilbert, Roseburg Properties Group

Happy Thanksgiving!

by Mary Gilbert

Courtesy of Mary Gilbert, Roseburg Properties Group

Bubble Alert! Is it Getting Too Easy to Get a Mortgage?

by Mary Gilbert
Bubble Alert! Is it Getting Too Easy to Get a Mortgage? | MyKCM

There is little doubt that it is easier to get a home mortgage today than it was last year. The Mortgage Credit Availability Index (MCAI), published by the Mortgage Bankers Association, shows that mortgage credit has become more available in each of the last several years. In fact, in just the last year:

  • More buyers are putting less than 20% down to purchase a home
  • The average credit score on closed mortgages is lower
  • More low-down-payment programs have been introduced

This has some people worrying that we are returning to the lax lending standards which led to the boom and bust that real estate experienced ten years ago. Let’s alleviate some of that concern.

The graph below shows the MCAI going back to the boom years of 2004-2005. The higher the graph line, the easier it was to get a mortgage.

Bubble Alert! Is it Getting Too Easy to Get a Mortgage? | MyKCM

As you can see, lending standards were much more lenient from 2004 to 2007. Though it has gradually become easier to get a mortgage since 2011, we are nowhere near the lenient standards during the boom.

The Urban Institute also publishes a Home Credit Availability Index (HCAI). According to the Institute, the HCAI:

“Measures the percentage of home purchase loans that are likely to default—that is, go unpaid for more than 90 days past their due date. A lower HCAI indicates that lenders are unwilling to tolerate defaults and are imposing tighter lending standards, making it harder to get a loan. A higher HCAI indicates … it is easier to get a loan.”

Here is a graph showing their findings:

Bubble Alert! Is it Getting Too Easy to Get a Mortgage? | MyKCM

Again, today’s lending standards are nowhere near the levels of the boom years. As a matter of fact, they are more stringent than they were even before the boom.

Bottom Line

It is getting easier to gain financing for a home purchase. However, we are not seeing the irresponsible lending that caused the housing crisis.

Give Roseburg Properties Group a call today to find out how much house you can afford! 541.371.5500 or [email protected]

By: KCM Crew

Homeowners: Your House Must Be Sold TWICE

by Mary Gilbert
Homeowners: Your House Must Be Sold TWICE | MyKCM

In today’s housing market, where supply is very low and demand is very high, home values are increasing rapidly. Many experts are projecting that home values could appreciate by another 5%+ over the next twelve months. One major challenge in such a market is the bank appraisal.

If prices are surging, it is difficult for appraisers to find adequate, comparable sales (similar houses in the neighborhood that recently closed) to defend the selling price when performing the appraisal for the bank.

Every month in their Home Price Perception Index (HPPI), Quicken Loans measures the disparity between what a homeowner who is seeking to refinance their home believes their house is worth, and an appraiser’s evaluation of that same home.

Bill Banfield, Executive VP of Capital Markets at Quicken Loans urges anyone looking to buy or sell in today’s market to remember the impact of this challenge:

“Based on the HPPI, it appears homeowners in the markets where prices are rising faster than the national average – like Denver, Seattle and San Francisco – are continuing to underestimate just how quickly home values are rising, so the average appraisal is higher than homeowner estimate.

On the inverse of that, homeowners in areas where the values aren’t rising as fast may think they are rising faster than they are, leading to the appraisal lagging the estimate.”

The chart below illustrates the changes in home price estimates over the last 12 months.

Homeowners: Your House Must Be Sold TWICE | MyKCM

Bottom Line

Every house on the market must be sold twice; once to a prospective buyer and then to the bank (through the bank’s appraisal). With escalating prices, the second sale might be even more difficult than the first. If you are planning on entering the housing market this year, let’s get together to discuss this and any other obstacles that may arise. 541.371.5500 or [email protected]

By: KCM Crew

Roseburg OR Real Estate For Sale
1954 Culver Loop, Sutherlin, OR  97479

 

A wealth of luxury, comfort and pleasant living await at this brand new Knolls Estates home with views overlooking the Oak Hills Golf Course! High ceilings, gleaming hardwood floors, modern fixtures and lighting, neutral colors, 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms all perfectly situated on one spacious level of living! Enjoy hosting guests and relaxing with family in this open concept layout! Join the chef in the gorgeous kitchen at the eating bar while still being part of the action in the connecting great room.  Quartz counters, classic cabinetry and stainless steel appliances make this kitchen stylish and functional.  A toasty fireplace is the focal point in the great room, plus a wall of windows to illuminate the space with natural light. A formal dining room makes holiday entertaining a breeze. Plush carpeting, a large walk-in closet and private bath with his and her vanities highlight this soothing master suite. The three generously sized secondary bedrooms and full bathroom provide privacy and room to grow. Stay tidy with abundant cabinetry in the laundry room. Quality landscaping, a spacious patio, exceptional golf course views and an attached 2 car garage add to the many desirable features in this upscale home! Convenient for golfers and great for families, make your appointment today to see 1954 Culver Loop!

Mary Gilbert, Licensed Realtor in Oregon has distinguished herself as a leader in the Roseburg OR real estate market. Mary assists buyers looking for Roseburg OR real estate for sale and aggressively markets Roseburg OR homes for sale. 

Mary, Licensed Realtor in Oregon brings with her a keen eye for the details of buying or selling a Roseburg OR home and seemingly boundless determination and energy, which is why her clients benefit from her unique brand of real estate service. Rooted in Tradition, Focused on the Future –Mary Gilbert of Keller Williams Realty Umpqua Valley will help make the most of your Roseburg OR real estate experience. Give her a call today, 541-371-5500, and discover the difference she can make during your family's move.

Exploring Roseburg Oregon: Festival of Lights and Holiday Village

by Mary Gilbert

November 19, 2017 - January 1, 2018

Come and enjoy the Festival of Lights where you will be able to see the world’s largest Nutcracker on display, 90 different light displays and you can enjoy wagon rides and more! Visit the holiday village where you will be able to visit Santa and savor treats such as warm hot chocolate and holiday goodies as you watch the model train set.

The Festival of Lights will be at the River Forks Park from November 19th through January 1st. The Holiday Village will be open nightly through December 24.  Enjoy the dazzling lights Sunday through Thursday from 5:30-9:00 PM and until 10:00 PM on Friday and Saturday.

For more information call (541) 637-5742

Event Website

Directions to Venue

Courtesy of Mary Gilbert, Roseburg Properties Group

Your Friends Are Crazy Wrong If They're Telling You Not to Buy

by Mary Gilbert
Your Friends Are Crazy Wrong if They're Telling You Not to Buy | MyKCM

The current narrative is that home prices have risen so much so that it is no longer a smart idea to purchase a home. Your family and friends might suggest that buying a home right now (whether a first-time home or a move-up home) makes absolutely no sense from an affordability standpoint. They are wrong!

Homes are more affordable right now than at almost any time in our country’s history except for the foreclosure years (2009-2015) when homes sold at major discounts. As an example, below is a graph from the latest Black Knight Mortgage Monitor showing the percentage of median income needed to buy a medium-priced home in the country today in comparison to prior to the housing bubble and bust.

Your Friends Are Crazy Wrong if They're Telling You Not to Buy | MyKCM

As we can see, the percentage necessary is less now than in those time periods.

The Mortgage Monitor also explains that home affordability is better today than it was in the late 1990s in 47 of 50 states.

Your Friends Are Crazy Wrong if They're Telling You Not to Buy | MyKCM

Bottom Line

Your friends and family have your best interests at heart. However, when it comes to buying your first home or selling your current house to buy the home of your dreams, let’s get together to discuss what your best move is, now. 541.371.5500 or [email protected]

By: KCM Crew

7 Reasons to List Your Home This Holiday Season

by Mary Gilbert
7 Reasons to List Your Home This Holiday Season | MyKCM

Every year at this time, many homeowners decide to wait until after the holidays to put their homes on the market for the first time, while others who already have their homes on the market decide to take them off until after the holidays.

Here are seven great reasons not to wait:

  1. Relocation buyers are out there. Many companies are still hiring throughout the holidays and need their employees in their new positions as soon as possible.
  2. Purchasers who are looking for homes during the holidays are serious buyers and are ready to buy now.
  3. You can restrict the showings on your home to the times you want it shown. You will remain in control.
  4. Homes show better when decorated for the holidays.
  5. There is less competition for you as a seller right now. Let’s take a look at listing inventory as compared to the same time last year:

7 Reasons to List Your Home This Holiday Season | MyKCM

  1. The desire to own a home doesn’t stop when the holidays come. Buyers who were unable to find their dream home during the busy spring and summer months are still searching!
  2. The supply of listings increases substantially after the holidays. Also, in many parts of the country, new construction will continue to surge reaching new heights in 2018, which will lessen the demand for your house.

Bottom Line

Waiting until after the holidays to sell your home probably doesn’t make sense.

Give Roseburg Properties Group a call today to find out how much your home is worth! 541.371.5500 or [email protected]

By: KCM Crew

Displaying blog entries 1-10 of 19

Share This Page

Contact Information

Photo of Mary Gilbert Real Estate
Mary Gilbert
Keller Williams Realty Umpqua Valley
2365 NW Kline Street, Suite 201
Roseburg OR 97471
541-371-5500
Fax: 541-371-5501

© Keller Williams Realty, Inc. is a real estate franchise company. Each Keller Williams office is independently owned and operated. Keller Williams Realty, Inc. is an Equal Opportunity Employer and supports the Fair Housing Act.